TC14 Curve Intelligence

Curve, $/t

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Actual Month Signals

Curve Table

Bucket-Relative Spread Monitor

Actual Month Spreads

Seasonal-Relative Actual Quarter Spreads

Bucket-relative compares curve buckets such as Q+1/Q+2 across all dates. Seasonal-relative compares the actual calendar pair, such as Q4/Q1, against prior Q4/Q1 observations.

Signal Research

Research signal

Forward Outcomes

Forward outcomes use historical observations where the selected signal was similarly extreme. For high-percentile wide/rich signals, favourable mean reversion is a lower future level. For low-percentile tight/cheap signals, favourable mean reversion is a higher future level. MFE is best favourable excursion before the horizon; MAE is worst adverse excursion.

Signal Evolution

Fundamentals Journal

Date USG outstanding cargoes 7D available vessels Cargo/vessel ratio Diesel arb USG MR sentiment Owners Charterers Cargo momentum Vessel momentum Arb direction Notes Setup / trade thought

Import CSV

This journal is stored locally in this browser. Export CSV regularly if you want to keep the dataset or move it to another machine later.

Trade Ledger

Entry date Market Setup Direction Leg 1 Leg 2 Spread formula Lots mt per lot Contract months Entry level, $/t Stop, $/t Take profit, $/t Status Exit reason Conviction Exit date Exit level, $/t Thesis review date Thesis Invalidation Primary risk Notes / post-trade review Research note / snapshot

Import CSV

Open trades are checked against the currently selected dashboard date. Spread trades mark from Leg 1 − Leg 2. Legs can be single contracts or strips/ranges such as Nov-26+Dec-26, Q4 2026+Q1 2027, Apr-Dec, or Q1-Q3. FFA default: 1 lot = 1kt = 1,000mt. P&L = signed move in $/t × lots × 1,000 × contract months.

Last 30 Trading Days: Daily Change Heatmap, $/t

Percentiles and z-scores use the available TC14 history in the supplied 2024-2026 curve files.